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September 27, 2021

U.S. Voters

Voters News, tools and information

Final California Gubernatorial Recall Prediction

1 min read

Hey everyone, in this video I will make my final prediction for the California Gubernatorial Recall Election happening on September 14th, 2021. Leave questions in the comments down below. We are going live to cover this election, with Matthew Taur Predicts and American Predictions.
Contents:
0:00 – Intro
0:31 – Livestream Announcement
1:11 – 538 Polling Average
4:11 – Early Vote Data
6:21 – Modelling The Election With Current Data
8:06 – Final Margin Prediction
9:12 – County Map Prediction
13:52 – PredictIt Markets
Links:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/california-recall-polls/?cid=rrpromo

2021 Special Election Tracker


https://targetearly.targetsmart.com/historic.html?view_type=State&demo=Registered%20Party&demo_val=All&state=CA
https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/exit-polls/president/california
https://www.yapms.com/app/?m=c486
https://www.yapms.com/app/?m=c487
https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/california-governor
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/results-california.html
https://www.predictit.org/markets/search?query=Newsom

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